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The international system is today marked by an instability such that it is difficult to discern the exact direction to which the upheavals which affect it point to. However, already two scenarios prevail over others. The first favors the hypothesis of a provisional coalition between the United States and Russia. This “duplice” would allow the former to settle the European question so that it would be possible for them to concentrate then the shot on the power they consider to be the most threatening, China. Which, suddenly, would have lost anything to wait “: the concessions made by the United States to Russia would have the effect of detaching Moscow from its present dependence on Beijing, and would allow Washington to better target its main adversary. Read also | Article reserved for our subscribers The United States of Donald Trump engages a cordial dialogue with Russia, to the detriment of Ukraine later Read the second scenario is that of an “triplice”, an alliance between the three major powers, which would last the time necessary for the satisfaction of the primordial objectives of each of the partners: to you Greenland and Panama, even Canada; to me Ukraine, the Baltic countries, the control of Hungary and a few others; To them Taiwan and the China Sea … We now call this, in Washington, “diplomatic realism”, or even “hard realism”. The meeting of the “three emperors” in Moscow, whose hypothesis for May 9, would formalize the birth of a new “triple alliance”. Of course, the second scenario is so much risky for each of the actors that we hesitate to believe credibility. But several factors force us to consider it very seriously. Irredentist obsession The three powers show an astonishing ideological consensus. It is not only the Trump team that promotes masculinism and pleads for a moral counter-revolution: its Russian and Chinese counterparts as well. The disdain expressed towards the democratic model is also shared, as is shared by the model of a “scientific” policy entrusted to a meritocracy selected by business, relations, the hard selective process developed by the Party state or simply by a mixture of cynicism and audacity. Finally, each emphasizes the threat that the other (any other) represents for political order. You have 62.84% of this article to read. The rest is reserved for subscribers.

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Author : News7

Publish date : 2025-02-26 19:39:33

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